Nov 3, 2024; Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA; Philadelphia Eagles running back Saquon Barkley (26) leaps over Jacksonville Jaguars cornerback Ronald Darby (25) as he runs with the ball during the fourth quarter at Lincoln Financial Field. Mandatory credit: Image by Bill Streicher-Imagn Fans and bettors probably saw the most exciting game of the week 10 slate in the Bengals-Ravens game on Saturday night, but that doesn’t mean we’re taking the week off. It just means we find something else to bet on, like a hundred or so players are there for every game.
There’s a lot to do, so don’t waste time. Here are the top 10 player props for the Week 10 NFL games.
NFL Week 10: Player highlights
This is not in any kind of order; we don’t necessarily like the former more or less than the latter. But we will recommend each. Oh — and be sure to line up the shop before placing a bet to ensure you get the best odds available.
Sam LaPorta O / U 3.5 Receptions at -115/-115
The Detroit Lions tight end was the breakout star of last year’s rookie season, with 86 receptions on 120 targets for 889 yards and 10 touchdowns. But this season, he hasn’t been a big part of the gameplan. Besides the season opener against the Rams that went into overtime, he has been targeted more than three times only twice.
Both games were winnable. This game should be relatively close (especially if CJ Stroud gets Nico Collins back). The Texans defense was limited to just 24 catches.
Take the UNDER (odds via DraftKings).
Saquon Barkley O/U 103.5 Rushing and Receiving Yards -120/-110 (DraftKings)
Saquon Barkley Recorded 10+ Rushing Yards in Each Quarter +145 (FanDuel)
Saquon Barkley Longest Rush O/U 17.5 Yards -110/-120 (DraftKings)
The struggles have been very real for the Cowboys and their defense, which the Eagles and former Giants running back Saquon Barkley will take advantage of. Dallas has struggled against running backs in several games this season; Barkley is next in line.
However, as bad as the Dallas defense has been, only two running backs have rushed for 100+ yards against them. Bijan Robinson ran for 86 for the Falcons last week but also had 59 receiving yards.
The Eagles seem intent on getting Barkley touches; he averaged 19.6 carries a game. The team that averaged 4.6 yards per carry against Dallas D. Barkley has averaged 5.9, but even if the Cowboys hold him to 4.6, will Barkley break play a screen or two to gain long for OVER 103.5 quickly -fast and receive meters.
The only reason he might not get 10+ yards rushing is if the game is so good that he sits in the fourth quarter. As for the longest rush, Dallas has given up nine plays of 20+ yards. Between Barkley’s shiftiness and the Cowboys’ inability to intercept, he will make at least 10 (if not 11 or 12).
Takes OVER 17.5 yards.
D’Andre Swift O/U 71.5 Rushing Yards at -113/-113 (FanDuel)
D’Andre Swift O/U 17.5 Rush attempts at -105/-125 (DraftKings)
Swift did not pass for 71.5 total yards in the first three games but has surpassed 71.5 in four of the five games. Three of those games were won, and the fourth, lost because of the Hail Mary. The Patriots have allowed a running back to gain 80 or more yards in the last five games; both do it in one game.
Since the Bears will likely try to take advantage of the Patriots’ run defense and feed Swift the ball, it will not be a problem over 71.5 yards rushing.
Now, he’s only carried the ball 18+ times in two games. But look for the Bears to take advantage of New England’s poor run defense to help take pressure off Caleb Williams. Opposing teams are averaging 35.3 rushing attempts against the Patriots in their last three games. Swift will get at least 20 in this game.
Take OVER for a quick effort.
Kyle Pitts O/U 41.5 Receiving Yards at -113/-113 (FanDuel)
Kyle Pitts O/U 3.5 Receptions at -114/-114 (FanDuel)
Pitts had one catch for 11 yards last week vs. Dallas and no catches against the Saints (three targets) back in Week 4. In the four games between them, he had seven, three, seven, and four catches for 88, 70, 65, and 91 yards. Kirk Cousins ​​will make his presence felt once again against a struggling Saints defense.
Take it OVER.
As for total receptions, before the Dallas game last week, he had more than 3.5 in three of the four games. Had he caught a few balls against the Saints, he would have been targeted more than three times. If Cousins ​​is going to join him, he will throw 5-10 passes to Pitts. A tight end must catch at least four.
Take it OVER.
Baker Mayfield O / U 34.5 Pass attempts -115/-115
Baker Mayfield O/U 0.5 tackles
Mayfield has averaged 40.5 attempts per game over the last four, partly because the Buccaneers had to play catch-up and because they didn’t run the ball well. Against the 49ers getting Christian McCaffrey back this week, there’s a good chance Tampa Bay will play catch-up early and often in this game.
Take it OVER.
In regards to his total interception, when you throw the ball as much as Tampa Bay, you are bound to throw the occasional pick. Mayfield didn’t throw one last week but had seven in the previous three games. The 49ers defense has two in each of the last three games and at least one in the last five.
If Mayfield throws the ball 40+ more times, he throws at least one pick against this 49ers defense.
Take it OVER.
–Field Level Media
