Guest post by Joe Hoft at JoeHoft.com – published with permission
EXCLUSIVE: Part 2 – Actuarial Analysis Unmasks Invincible Voters at the Precinct Level in 11 Virginia Counties
This actuarial analysis from a guest actuary-contributor professional presents evidence of serious election fraud.
Ahead of the 2020 General Election, the Virginia Democrats who fully control the election did something strange – they ordered that the number of absentee ballots processed through the Precinct Absentee Center will not be reported at the precinct level but as a single total at the county level. Believed by election integrity activists, the reason for this decision is that it will facilitate the fraud of ballot papers, because fake votes must be allocated to regions carefully to ensure that the level of participation in the region will appear real.
As long as no effort is made to find actual absentee mail-in allocations and review area turnout statistics, none will be the wiser.
However, we looked for and found evidence of serious electoral fraud.
Redistricting Data, Registration Data, and Participation Statistics
Before going further, it is important to know that determining the allocation of mail-in ballots for precincts is not hard. In Virginia, voter registration lists and voter history lists are publicly available, so a voter’s name and address and voter history can be determined by associating the two files with a Voter ID. Furthermore, a precinct is associated with each address. With this information, allocating total absentee mail votes to precincts is a simple matter for major redistricting data aggregation services. By subscribing to the service, total votes by region can be obtained. For this analysis, precinct-level vote total data from two independent services were obtained and confirmed.
Registration numbers by precinct are also available in Virginia from the Virginia Department of Elections website. Precinct voter turnout statistics are simply the total number of votes in a precinct divided by the total registration for that precinct.
The analysis
This analysis began with the work of Captain Seth Keshel, Executive Director of the Electoral Justice Institute – specifically from the “Precinct Mapping Project” where districts are analyzed down to the precinct level to identify anomalies in reported election results that are inconsistent with the past. election, registration trends, population growth trends, and redistricting database information discussed above. Discovered by using their work in the Precinct Mapping Project, the actual turnout statistics can be determined for the area analyzed.
For this analysis, 11 Virginia counties were examined. The study included major Northern Virginia counties, as well as smaller counties across the State.
What We Found
The headline findings for this analysis are captured in the table below. For each of the 11 districts, the total number of discussions is shown, as well as the number of districts that have a participation rate of more than 90% and districts with voter statistics between 80% and 90%. It would normally be assumed that some precincts have a turnout statistic of more than 90%, and that a limited number are likely to be between 80% and 90%.
However, an examination of the table shows that all 11 counties in the study show improbable precinct numbers with unrealistic (if not impossible) turnout statistics.
Heat Map
In the Precinct Mapping Project, Keshel prepared a precinct-level “Heat Map” for each district analyzed, and color-coded the precincts according to their assessment of the level of potential election fraud. The visualization facilitates the recognition of traceable routes and hubs. This analysis also uses these visualization tools. Regions in red have turnout statistics of more than 90%, those in orange have statistics between 80% and 90%, those in yellow between 75% and 80%, and the rest are in gray.
Illustration: Henrico County
Below is the Precinct Level Turnout Heat Map for Henrico County. Keshel estimates that more than 15,000 fake votes were cast in the 2020 General election. The Turnout Heat Map for Henrico suggests that there were fake ballots cast in the election in areas along the Patterson Ave, I-64, and Staples Mill corridors, as well as around Richmond and Mechanicsville .
Other districts
Turnout Heat Maps for several other counties are shown below. What is interesting is that every district, big or small, shows false evidence of vote insertion.
It’s Actually Worse Than It Is
Now, in addition to the unreasonable turnout statistics shown here, additional adjustments must be made to remove unsupported registrations from the rolls of the denominator in the turnout calculations to determine the actual turnout statistics:
Virginia’s voter rolls continue to grow, with an estimated more than 1,000,000 registrations remaining on the rolls even after the Virginia Department of Elections’, however ineffective, purge efforts. As shown in a recent Gateway Pundit article (1), this is just that materially distorts the reported turnout statistics due to ineligible registration artificially inflate the denominator in the turnout calculations, materially depressing the turnout statistics calculation.
Furthermore, it appears to be a common practice by registrars in Virginia to include “Inactive” registrations along with “Active” registrations in turnout calculations, typically reducing the reported turnout statistics further to between 2% and 3%.
Turnout statistics in Virginia are simply unbelievable.
Furthermore, the analysis of turnout statistics and the geographic distribution of precincts with unrealistic turnout statistics as presented in the Heat Map is suggestive of material fraud throughout Virginia in the 2020 General Election, especially around the city and along transportation corridors.
The findings presented here are part of a larger report that can be downloaded from https://vaanalytics.org/the-virginia-report
(1) Gateway Pundit October 18, 2024, article link – https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2024/10/exclusive-shocking-actuarial-analysis-shows-that-bloated-voter/
