Labor is set to win its biggest Commons majority in almost 200 years tomorrow as a new mega poll suggests Sir Kier Starmer’s party could win 431 seats in tomorrow’s election.
Despite Rishi Sunak and Boris Johnson joining forces to warn against giving Labor a ‘supermajority’, a YouGov MRP survey of more than 42,000 people gave Sir Keir a 212 majority.
This would be the largest margin for a party in the modern era of the House of Parliament since the reform of the electoral law in 1832.
The figure of 431 is almost identical to the findings of the second mega poll by More in Common, which gave Labor 430 seats.
The Tories are expected to end the election with just 102 seats, the worst result, with a short estimate of 78. About 15 Cabinet ministers are expected to lose their seats.
It came after Sir Keir frantically trying to play down the fear Workers will get ‘unchecked’ power today as election campaign entered the last run for the line.
The Labor leader tried to dispel alarms set for the biggest majority ever seen, insisting many seats will be ‘wired’ and that polls do not predict the future.
Despite Rishi Sunak and Boris Johnson joining forces to warn against giving Labor a ‘supermajority’, a YouGov MRP survey of more than 42,000 people gave Sir Keir a 212 majority.
The twitchy message came as the PM made a last-ditch effort to avert a full-blown Tory crisis after getting a big boost from a joint appearance with Boris Johnson.
At a rally last night, Mr Johnson warned that Sir Keir would use his ‘sledgehammer’ majority to bring in ‘compulsory wkery’ and ‘uncontrolled immigration’.
Mr Sunak used the last day of the campaign to visit the previously safe seat of Hampshire – with apocalyptic opinion polls showing many would fall to Labor and the Lib Dems.
A massive Survasi poll – carried out using the MRP method – found the Reforms split the right-wing vote to give Sir Keir his biggest Commons majority in history, while Tory numbers fell to a record low.
Touring the broadcast studios this morning, Work and Pensions Secretary Mel Stride admitted the Conservatives were on course for a bad result.
He said Labor was almost certain to get a ‘tremendous landslide on a scale never before seen in this country’.
However, the PM insisted Mr Stride had not ‘quite’ conceded defeat – telling ITV’s This Morning ‘what Mel has done is a warning about what a huge, unchecked Labor majority means to people’.
He added: ‘I fought hard for every vote.’
Other Tories have privately insisted that the reception at the front door is not as bad as the polls suggest – and there are narrow glimmers of it in recent times, with the Reform surge seemingly ebbing.
While the UK must learn who will be in charge for the next five years:
- There are claims Sir Keir will install Harriet Harman as the next head of the equalities watchdog, despite concerns over her support for gender ideology;
- Suella Braverman has effectively launched a Tory post-mortem saying the election was ‘over’ and high immigration to blame for the defeat;
- Mr. Sunak oddly stated his favorite food was ‘sandwiches’ during his This Morning interview;
- He also issued a warning to Sir Keir that he could not be ‘big daddy’ and PM at the same time, after the Labor leader suggested he still wanted a Saturday evening shutdown;
- Nigel Farage is still trying to seal a deal with the voters in Clacton, as Reform struggles to turn votes into seats;
- Polls have suggested the SNP could remain Scotland’s biggest party after a threat from Labour.
Rishi Sunak (pictured on ITV’s This Morning) is making a last-ditch effort to avert a full-blown Tory crisis after receiving a huge boost from his appearance alongside Boris Johnson.
Mr Johnson took to the stage for the first time in the campaign last night as the Tories tried to shake off Labour’s projected supermajority.
Mr Johnson received a rousing reception when he made a dramatic appearance at a midnight London rally.
During an impassioned speech, Mr Johnson called on Reform-minded voters to ‘step back from the brink’.
He labeled Nigel Farage a ‘Kremlin crawler’ and launched an attack on Labour’s ‘compulsory wkery’ and ‘uncontrolled immigration’, bluntly adding that people who ‘have a few thousand to spare’ and ‘actually want more tax tall’ should choose red.
Mr Johnson swiped at Sir Keir saying he was ‘past his bedtime’ after the opposition leader admitted he tried not to work past 6pm on Friday to spend time with his family.
So far, the former PM has only endorsed Tory allies specifically in a video message, as tensions remain with Mr Sunak over the resignation that led to his ouster from Downing Street.
The two have yet to appear together on stage.
But playing down the ‘trivial’ differences between him and the former Chancellor, Mr Johnson said he was ‘happy when the PM asked for help’ and ‘couldn’t say no’ because they both ‘love our country’.
During his first campaign stop in Carmarthenshire, Sir Keir played down the conversation about the size of his victory, insisting many seats would be ‘wired’.
Asked if he was worried about Mr Johnson joining the Tory attack, he said: ‘Not a bit. I have argued that the last 14 years have been about chaos and division – and last night, they wheeled out the architect of chaos and division.
‘It just shows the desperation, the negative place they have to be in their campaign.’
In a late-night intervention, Mr Johnson attacked Labour’s plans to raise taxes and said the party would not stand firm against Vladimir Putin, after he intervened in Ukraine.
He then criticized Sir Keir for failing to explain ‘the difference between men and women’.
‘He sat there with his mouth open like a stunned mullet,’ he said.
Johnson, who led the Tories to a landslide victory in 2019 against Jeremy Corbyn, added: ‘They can’t achieve anything in this election except to go into a far-left Labor government after fighting for a majority, and we shouldn’t. let it happen.
New MRP research by Survation, published in the last 48 hours of the campaign, predicts Labor will win 484 seats in this week’s general election.
The Survation model, based on polling data from more than 30,000 voters, predicts the Tories will be reduced to just 64 seats in the House of Commons.
‘Don’t let the Putinistas deliver the Corbynistas. Don’t let Putin’s pet parrot give the whole country psittacosis – it’s a disease you have from cozying up to pet parrots.
‘My friends, if you are right – everyone if you want higher taxes next week, this year, if you feel you have a few thousand then vote Labor on Thursday. If you want uncontrolled immigration and compulsory wakery, and no more kowtowing to Brussels, then go ahead, make my day, vote for Starmer.
“But if you want to protect our democracy and our economy and keep this country strong abroad by spending 2.5 per cent of our GDP on defense which Labor is still not doing, then you know what to do, don’t you, everyone?
‘There is only one thing to do – vote Conservative on Thursday, my friends and I know you will. I know you will.
