A Russian Naval Task Force will visit Cuba this month. During the Cold War, Russian long-range bombers and naval ships regularly visited Cuba, but since then, such visits have been few and far between.
The naval task force is rather modest, frigates (small surface warships), nuclear submarines, tankers, and large tugboats. Cuban officials said the ship was not armed with nuclear weapons.
Combined frigates and submarines can carry up to 80 Zircon hypersonic missiles between them, which at the Zircon’s maximum known range of 620 miles can reach US targets in less than eight minutes. They were able to simultaneously destroy the two main US Navy East Coast bases of Norfolk and Mayport without notice.
Russian forces are underrated by Team Biden. Russian Navy, “visible but not involved” according to two, Biden Officials. The official also said that the deployment could be a message from Russian President Vladimir Putin that Moscow may take “asymmetric measures” elsewhere in the world in response to President Biden’s decision to allow Ukraine to use US-supplied weapons to attack in Russia.
Along with Russia’s deployment to Cuba, the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) will hold its largest naval exercise in the Baltics, directly from the Russian city of St.
Forgetting about the Russian naval task force is the announcement last year that China is opening a spy base in Cuba and setting up permanent military exercises. When China has established overseas bases like Djibouti in Africa, it has deployed missiles to protect these facilities.
The “low confidence” of the Intelligence Community is even tracking this problem
The agreement of the Cuban Missile Crisis was that Russia would remove its offensive missiles in Cuba in return for the American promise not to invade Cuba. China is not part of this agreement and times have changed.
The meaning of the term “attack” has become somewhat blurred when discussing missiles. China’s S-300/S-400 missiles may already be in Cuba to protect spy bases and military training.
The challenge with the S-300/S-400 missile is that although it is named as an air defense missile, it can be used as a surface-to-surface missile like the old American Nike Missile System which is unknown, even by the Americans. troop. An annoying bonus feature of the S-400 is the nuclear capability of the Russian version, which is the Chinese equivalent.
The American Intelligence Community (IC), despite its tremendous capabilities, does not have the resources to collect and analyze all information from all sources on all topics. Intelligence Community Directive 204 establishes collection and analysis priorities – and establishes the cut lines of what will be analyzed and acted upon. If the topic is below the cut line – it means that intelligence can be collected, but no one analyzes and acts on what is collected. Using the expression Community Intelligence, I have “low confidence” that the IC has placed the Chinese presence in Cuba above the cut line. I also have “low confidence” that the average IC analyst knows that China’s S-400s can hit ground (and air) targets as far as Orlando and are probably as nuclear capable as their Russian counterparts.
Chinese and Russian Spies and Military run roughshod over the Monroe Doctrine
Biden’s team seems uninterested in fighting Chinese and Russian adventures in America. Mayorkas Department of Homeland Security has been to migrant camps in Panama and has done nothing about the Chinese Special Operators expanding the invasion of the Southern Border. Gen. Laura Richardson of the Southern Command in Miami has been clear about the Chinese threat but it is being ignored and under-resourced.
Russia and China both support Venezuela’s aggression against Guyana, especially the offshore oil fields in Guyana. The Russian Navy and possible Chinese missiles in Cuba could be a powerful cover force for Venezuelan movements in Guyana.
Biden’s team has assured the media that six US Navy ships are shadowing the Russian Naval Task Force including three Arleigh Burke Destroyers. This meant that six ships from the stressed and undersized US Navy were pulled from other missions to cover this pop-up contingency.
None of that will or will happen under President Trump
Jake Sullivan, the National Security Advisor, is the single person under President Biden who is making these complex national security decisions that could have serious consequences.
His only real-life experience was running a “Russian Russian Russian” election meddling operation for Hillary Clinton. The Biden team has denied Chinese influence operations in America, ignored General Richardson’s clear statement of concern, and appeared uninterested in asserting the Monroe Doctrine. But Jake Sullivan has no problem with Ukraine green-lighting the use of American missiles to attack Russia.
There is a small possibility that the IC was unaware of the presence of the Chinese in Cuba and that if they could find out about the placement of S-300/400 missiles in Cuba, they might consider it defensive even if the missiles could hit ground targets in Florida. to Orlando.
The fact that Russia’s S-400 system is nuclear capable, and that China is not a signatory to any nuclear weapons treaty (other than the Outer Space Treaty) would have been unknown to the typical IC analyst busy spying on the Trump campaign. Blinken promised to bring the adults into the room, he was right – it will be there with #47 in January.