(The Center Square) – Vice President Kamala Harris is narrowly leading former President Donald Trump nationally in the latest poll, but that may not be enough.
Two weeks out from Election Day, Trump has a lead over Harris in all seven of the closest swing states, according to Real Clear Politics, which averages recent polls across the state.
In 2020, Biden won Arizona by 11 votes, Nevada by 6 votes, Georgia by 16 votes, Pennsylvania by 19 votes, Michigan by 15 votes, and Wisconsin by 10 votes.
Trump defeated Biden in North Carolina in 2020, earning 16 electoral votes.
This time, Trump leads in all seven states, although his lead is less than two points in each state, leaving all in the “rising” category.
Had Trump won all seven states, he would have easily won the presidential election two weeks ago.
However, Trump’s lead is small in each state with the campaign stalled and each state has its own problems.
Trump leads Harris by an average of 1.8 points in Arizona, where Hispanic voters make up about a third of the state.
A USA Today / Suffolk University poll released on Monday reports that Trump leads Harris with Hispanics, 49% to 38%.
Those numbers will help Trump in Nevada as well, where the RCP boosted Trump to 0.8% and Hispanics make up nearly a third of the population.
As The Center Square previously reported, Biden received the support of 58% of Hispanic voters in defeating Trump in 2020.
The border issue has also become a concern in the southwestern state, which has seen a flood of migrants enter the state like no other since Vice President Kamala Harris took office.
Harris has done his best to distance himself from immigration work for the Biden administration, but questions about him as a “border tsar” remain, suggesting that he has not completely removed his connection to his candidacy and the current border crisis.
Trump’s focus on the border crisis and gains with Hispanics has so far given him an edge in the Grand Canyon State.
In Pennsylvania, Harris’s fracking stance has come under scrutiny.
In 2019, he called for a ban on fracking, but he has since reversed his position.
Now, PoliticoPro is reporting that a top Harris climate staffer has said that Harris will not support fracking.
“Kamala Harris continues to lie and turn herself into a pretzel on her energy position because she needs states like Pennsylvania to win the White House and her record of failure won’t cut it,” Daniel Turner, founder and executive director of the energy workers’ advocacy group, Power The Future, said. to The Center Square.
Harris has also struggled with Black Voters, according to recent polls, and underperforming with demographics could be damaging to her campaign in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina (about 20% Black) and Pennsylvania (about 12% Black).
While Harris leads Trump by 78%-17% of Black voters, his support is well below that of the Democratic presidential nominee.
In fact, Democrats typically rely on 90-95% support among black voters, from former President Barack Obama to President Joe Biden.
Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton even lost with the support of more than 90% of black voters.
Now, the candidates have stopped campaigning in these key states, hoping to win key districts that can provide enough electoral votes.
Harris has continued to call Trump “unstable,” in his message online and in interviews.
“The last stretch is always about momentum, and Donald Trump started the countdown to Election Day with the wind at his back,” Colin Reed, Republican strategist, former campaign manager for US Sen. Scott Brown, R-Mass., and co-founder of South and Hill Strategies, told The Center Square.
“It’s late in the game for Vice President Harris to answer the question voters want, which is a better understanding of his reasons for running and his vision for America.
“Trump, for better or for worse, is a known quantity, and these factors, coupled with leadership on intangible issues (economy, foreign affairs, immigration) and the desire for a change in direction from the status quo give a small advantage. finally,” Reed continued.
In a sign of the tenor and the modern state of American politics, both candidates also took shots at the size of other rallies.
“I have a rally, I have 100,000 people,” Trump told rallygoers in North Carolina Monday.
“They had a rally. They had 200 people.”
On Friday, pro-life protesters disrupted Harris’ Wisconsin rally speech when he began discussing abortion.
“Well, you are doing wrong. I think you’re going to go to something smaller down the road,” Harris said.